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What 2026 is teaching us about AI and quantum

A leadership perspective for East Africa by Shain Rahim, Country Manager, East Africa, Cisco.
A leadership perspective for East Africa by Shain Rahim, Country Manager, East Africa, Cisco.

AI is no longer experimental, it is a competitive requirement. Across East African enterprises, rapid adoption is exposing structural weaknesses in infrastructure, skills, security, and governance. The gap between ambition and operational readiness is where this year is being won or lost.

Cisco’s 2025 AI Readiness Index found that only around 13% of organisations qualify as Pacesetters despite rising investment. Real AI impact depends less on spending and more on disciplined, system-level readiness.

Agentic AI has moved fast from concept to boardroom priority. In Cisco’s research with Omdia, 80% of executives said their company’s survival will depend on agentic AI by 2027, and 87% have already reshaped strategic priorities to support it. For East Africa leaders, the window to build foundations for agentic operations is narrower than local adoption would suggest.

That urgency is reinforced by CEO sentiment. Cisco’s second annual survey of 2,500 CEOs across 23 countries, conducted in January 2026 and including African markets, found 93% more optimistic about AI than a year ago and 67% now worried they are underinvesting, up from 57%. 

Nearly two thirds (64%) treat adoption as mandatory for a modern business. African leaders see room to leapfrog rather than catch up, and their message to peers is that the opportunity is real and the time to act is now.

Six themes now define how AI is delivering value across East Africa.

The infrastructure reckoning is here

AI adoption has moved faster than the foundations most enterprises were built on. Organisations are layering intelligent systems onto fragmented networks, siloed data, and legacy infrastructure, and the cracks show in performance, resilience, and security. Agentic AI, where systems act across applications, clouds, and data, has made this reckoning impossible to defer.

What separates leaders from laggards in 2026 is whether infrastructure modernisation is treated as a strategic priority or a background IT exercise. Secure-by-design networks determine whether AI scales safely. 

For markets with infrastructure gaps, this remains a leapfrogging moment for organisations that modernise decisively. CEOs put the same problem at the top of their own agenda. Nearly half (48%) expect infrastructure limits to hold them back, and upgrading infrastructure for AI workloads ranks as their number one priority for 2026, closely followed by upskilling teams.

AI is already moving to the edge

With connected IoT devices projected to exceed 21.1 billion, vast volumes of telemetry are generated daily, much of it never analysed in real time. In 2026, more AI workloads have shifted closer to where data is produced, enabling faster decisions and preserving privacy in regulated environments.

The Middle East and Africa edge computing market, valued at around USD 1.8 billion, reflects rising demand across manufacturing, energy, logistics, and agriculture. As deployments scale, embedding security directly into the infrastructure is no longer a design preference, it is a requirement.

Digital sovereignty is now an operational question

Sovereignty has been a policy conversation for years. In 2026 it became an execution problem. As data localisation requirements tighten, organisations are making concrete decisions about where data is processed, stored, and governed. 

A growing number of African countries now have data protection laws that shape how enterprises design cloud and hybrid environments. The result is renewed interest in on-premises environments for sensitive workloads, and more deliberate balancing of global platforms with regional infrastructure.

The result is selective migrations and diversified cloud strategies, driving demand for regional providers, local skills, and sovereign innovation ecosystems. For East Africa, this is as much a talent and competitiveness story as a compliance one. 

Fragmented data is already the biggest single brake on progress, named by 36% of CEOs as the barrier holding AI back, and only 22% of organisations have fully centralised, AI-accessible data. Where localisation decisions land will determine whether that picture improves.

Identity has replaced the perimeter

The rise of AI agents and hybrid human- digital teams has exposed the limits of static security perimeters. Modern security treats identity intelligence as a core cybersecurity pillar, requiring continuous authentication and adaptive governance across users and machines. When an AI agent changes roles and permissions in real time, conventional identity systems cannot keep up.

Executives in the Cisco-Omdia research expect 55% of their workforce will collaborate with AI agents within 24 months. That reality is arriving unevenly across East Africa, but it is arriving. Trust now depends on continuous visibility into who, or what, is acting, and how accountability is enforced when something fails. 

The concern registers at board level too. As CEOs move to put agents into the workforce, security and control of autonomous systems has become their single biggest worry, and Cisco’s 2026 AI Readiness Index finds only 39% of organisations equipped to secure and govern AI agents.

The workforce upgrade is the harder half

Many organisations cannot extract full value from AI, and agentic systems have widened the gap. Cisco-led Consortium research shows 78% of ICT roles now require AI skills, and nearly 60% of employees will need to upskill beyond prompt engineering to supervise, audit, and trust autonomous agents. 

CEOs are not planning to hand over judgement. Three quarters (74%) expect AI to support or execute under human direction, which puts supervision and audit skills at the centre of the upskilling question. Their own grasp of the technology is no longer the obstacle it was, with the share who said AI knowledge held them back in the boardroom falling to 57% from 75% in twelve months.

The most effective organisations are building hybrid professionals who can orchestrate intelligent systems and apply technology responsibly. For East Africa, where the talent pipeline is a defining competitive asset, this is a generational opportunity that will not wait.

Quantum preparation has begun in earnest

Quantum computing has shifted from theoretical possibility to practical consideration. Widespread quantum advantage remains years away, but the security implications are immediate, and 2026 has brought more serious engagement from regional technology leaders. 

Focus is intensifying on quantum-safe readiness, including early adoption of post-quantum cryptography and experimentation with quantum networking. 

Existing telecom fibre can already carry new classes of secure connectivity, and Cisco’s recently unveiled Universal Quantum Switch, a research prototype that routes quantum information across vendor systems at room temperature over standard fibre, signals how quickly that foundation is taking shape. 

The organisations thinking about quantum now will not be caught flat-footed when the cryptographic ground shifts.

The back half of 2026 will reward decision-makers who prioritise the fundamentals. Modernise infrastructure, strengthen trust, build talent, tighten governance, and deploying AI and agentic systems safely at scale becomes real. Fail to do so, and rapid adoption could multiply existing weaknesses.

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